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Local Weather National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Marine Weather - Gulf of Mexico Atlantic Tropical Weather

NHC Audio Briefing Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones Tropical Weather Discussion Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan

Gulf of Mexico Offshore Waters Forecast

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NHC Atlantic Outlook TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT THU JUL 31 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A well-defined low pressure system located about 650 miles east of the southern Windward Islands has been producing organized shower and thunderstorm activity during the past several hours. If this activity persists, tropical depression or tropical storm advisories will be initiated later this morning. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this disturbance as it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, and watches or warnings may be required for some of these islands later today. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Pasch NHC Eastern Pacific Outlook TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT THU JUL 31 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Showers and thunderstorms continue to increase near an area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is forecast to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. 2. An area of low pressure located about 1550 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Upper-level winds are only marginally favorable, and any development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves westward at about 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 3. An area of low pressure is expected to form well southwest of the southern coast of Mexico this weekend. Some gradual development of this system is possible after that time while it moves westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Berg